Tonight is the night, folks. The 84th Annual Academy Awards. I may or may not be liveblogging the event, it remains to be seen, but at the very least, here are my final predictions for this year's main event. As always, these predictions are not based necessarily on what I think DESERVES to win, but what has the most realistic chance of winning. Hence I have distinguished between "Should Win, Could Win, Will Win." As anyone knows, you can predict the outcome of the Oscars without having seen a single nominated film. This is more about who knows who and politics than anything else. But rather than cast a cynical shade on the proceedings, let's just get to the nominees:
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Descendants
Hugo
The Ides of March
Moneyball
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Will Win: Moneyball
Could Win: The Descendants
Should Win: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Artist
Bridesmaids
Margin Call
Midnight in Paris
A Separation
Will Win: The Artist
Could Win: Midnight in Paris
Should Win: Bridesmaids
CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Artist
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
The Tree of Life
War Horse
Will Win: The Artist
Could Win: War Horse
Should Win: The Tree of Life
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Berenice Bejo, 'The Artist'
Jessica Chastain, 'The Help'
Melissa McCarthy, 'Bridesmaids'
Janet McTeer, 'Albert Nobbs'
Octavia Spencer, 'The Help'
Will Win: Octavia Spencer
Could Win: Berenice Bejo
Should Win: Melissa McCarthy
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Kenneth Branagh, 'My Week With Marilyn'
Jonah Hill, 'Moneyball'
Nick Nolte, 'Warrior'
Christopher Plummer, 'Beginners'
Max von Sydow, 'Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close'
Will Win: Christopher Plummer
Could Win: Nick Nolte
Should Win: Christopher Plummer
BEST ACTRESS
Glenn Close, 'Albert Nobbs'
Viola Davis, 'The Help'
Rooney Mara, 'The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo'
Meryl Streep, 'The Iron Lady'
Michelle Williams, 'My Week With Marilyn'
Will Win: Viola Davis
Could Win: Meryl Streep
Should Win: Michelle Williams
BEST ACTOR
Demian Bichir, 'A Better Life'
George Clooney, 'The Descendants'
Jean Dujardin, 'The Artist'
Gary Oldman, 'Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy'
Brad Pitt, 'Moneyball'
Will Win: Jean Dujardin
Could Win: George Clooney
Should Win: Jean Dujardin
BEST PICTURE
The Artist
The Descendants
Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
The Tree of Life
War Horse
Will Win: The Artist
Could Win: The Help
Should Win: The Artist
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